Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings). Letestu wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 52.1% vs Duchene 54.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.8%
Defensive zone
Letestu 70.2%
Neutral zone
Letestu 55.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Letestu
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
17
(29 meetings)
12
17
Letestu
Duchene
Last 10: Letestu 6-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
14
Letestu
Duchene
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
6
1
Letestu
Duchene
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Letestu
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (4,565)
53.9% (10,396)
-0.6%
Power Play
56.0% (687)
56.9% (1,665)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,005)
49.1% (468)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Letestu shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Home / Away
Letestu
Duchene
Home
54.0% (3,024)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
50.4% (3,249)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Letestu
Duchene
P1
51.5%
54.5%
P2
55.0%
54.5%
P3
49.8%
53.4%
OT
51.8%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 06:21 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |