Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Letestu wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Peca shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 53.0% vs Peca 54.0% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peca 54.2%
Defensive zone
Peca 50.2%
Neutral zone
Peca 52.7%
Result
Matthew Peca favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Letestu
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Letestu
Peca
Last 5: Letestu 2-3 Peca
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
2
1
Letestu
Peca
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peca
0
2
Letestu
Peca
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (625)
57.8% (116)
-4.5%
Power Play
59.6% (89)
0.0% (2)
+59.6%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (173)
57.9% (19)
-7.6%
On power play, Letestu has a +59.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Letestu is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Letestu shoots right. Peca is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Letestu
Peca
Home
55.8% (421)
23.5% (17)
Away
51.1% (466)
61.7% (120)
By Period
Letestu
Peca
P1
52.0%
55.0%
P2
55.2%
58.3%
P3
53.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.2%
64.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.3%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2018 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |