Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Letestu wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Peca shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 52.1% vs Peca 50.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peca 58.2%
Defensive zone
Letestu 51.0%
Neutral zone
Peca 54.8%
Result
Matthew Peca favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Letestu
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Letestu
Peca
Last 5: Letestu 2-3 Peca
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
2
1
Letestu
Peca
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peca
0
2
Letestu
Peca
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (4,565)
51.5% (423)
+1.8%
Power Play
56.0% (687)
12.5% (8)
+43.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,005)
44.2% (43)
+0.0%
On power play, Letestu has a +43.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Letestu shoots right. Peca is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Letestu
Peca
Home
54.0% (3,024)
46.1% (193)
Away
50.4% (3,249)
53.0% (281)
By Period
Letestu
Peca
P1
51.5%
56.6%
P2
55.0%
44.4%
P3
49.8%
50.3%
OT
51.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2018 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |