Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Letestu wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 52.1% vs Talbot 47.0% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Talbot leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Talbot 80.9%
Defensive zone
Talbot 76.3%
Neutral zone
Talbot 76.5%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 77.3%
22.7%
77.3%
Letestu
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Letestu
Talbot
Last 10: Letestu 2-8 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
2
Letestu
Talbot
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
1
Letestu
Talbot
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
3
5
Letestu
Talbot
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (4,565)
48.3% (1,738)
+5.0%
Power Play
56.0% (687)
49.0% (51)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,005)
42.3% (631)
+1.9%
On power play, Letestu has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Letestu shoots right. Talbot is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (895).
Home / Away
Letestu
Talbot
Home
54.0% (3,024)
48.0% (1,219)
Away
50.4% (3,249)
45.8% (1,215)
By Period
Letestu
Talbot
P1
51.5%
48.7%
P2
55.0%
43.5%
P3
49.8%
48.6%
OT
51.8%
45.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2015 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 2 | 11:05 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 2 | 04:57 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |