Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 51.1% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 77.3%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 67.4%
Neutral zone
Letestu 54.2%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Letestu
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Letestu
Gaustad
Last 7: Letestu 2-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Letestu
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Letestu
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (540)
59.3% (913)
-5.0%
Power Play
57.1% (49)
72.2% (18)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (141)
52.8% (269)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Letestu is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Letestu shoots right. Gaustad is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Letestu
Gaustad
Home
53.6% (371)
58.6% (604)
Away
48.7% (359)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Letestu
Gaustad
P1
51.2%
61.5%
P2
53.4%
55.7%
P3
49.1%
56.6%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.2%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |