Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Letestu wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 52.1% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Letestu leads 19-12 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Letestu 52.6%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 95.2%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 77.2%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Letestu
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
12
(31 meetings)
19
12
Letestu
Gaustad
Last 10: Letestu 6-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
10
1
Letestu
Gaustad
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
7
Letestu
Gaustad
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
7
4
Letestu
Gaustad
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (4,565)
58.2% (4,334)
-4.9%
Power Play
56.0% (687)
65.4% (188)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,005)
54.8% (1,290)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Letestu shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Letestu
Gaustad
Home
54.0% (3,024)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
50.4% (3,249)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Letestu
Gaustad
P1
51.5%
58.2%
P2
55.0%
56.4%
P3
49.8%
58.3%
OT
51.8%
66.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 11:18 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |