Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 20 meetings). Letestu wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 52.1% vs Stastny 55.1% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 38-23 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Letestu 58.6%
Defensive zone
Letestu 71.0%
Neutral zone
Letestu 61.0%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Letestu
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
38
(61 meetings)
23
38
Letestu
Stastny
Last 10: Letestu 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
15
Letestu
Stastny
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
11
12
Letestu
Stastny
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
7
11
Letestu
Stastny
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (4,565)
54.6% (10,616)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.0% (687)
59.1% (1,994)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,005)
52.9% (1,119)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Letestu shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Letestu
Stastny
Home
54.0% (3,024)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
50.4% (3,249)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Letestu
Stastny
P1
51.5%
56.3%
P2
55.0%
55.4%
P3
49.8%
53.5%
OT
51.8%
62.9%
Final 5 min
50.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 14:08 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |