Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 51.2%). Look for Letestu on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Letestu wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Pelley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 52.1% vs Pelley 51.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 62.7%
Defensive zone
Letestu 60.9%
Neutral zone
Letestu 60.6%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Letestu
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Letestu
Pelley
Last 8: Letestu 5-3 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
3
2
Letestu
Pelley
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
0
Letestu
Pelley
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Letestu
Pelley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (4,565)
51.4% (440)
+1.9%
Power Play
56.0% (687)
25.0% (8)
+31.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,005)
50.8% (118)
-6.6%
On power play, Letestu has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Letestu shoots right. Pelley is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Letestu
Pelley
Home
54.0% (3,024)
52.9% (221)
Away
50.4% (3,249)
50.1% (353)
By Period
Letestu
Pelley
P1
51.5%
50.8%
P2
55.0%
49.3%
P3
49.8%
53.8%
OT
51.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2010 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |