Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 50.4% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Letestu 70.9%
Defensive zone
Letestu 74.8%
Neutral zone
Letestu 66.8%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Letestu
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Letestu
O'Reilly
Last 10: Letestu 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Letestu
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Letestu
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Letestu
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (582)
57.9% (1,179)
-7.0%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
63.0% (292)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (189)
53.8% (320)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Letestu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (669).
Letestu shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Letestu
O'Reilly
Home
48.5% (423)
61.3% (884)
Away
52.2% (473)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Letestu
O'Reilly
P1
54.0%
55.5%
P2
50.5%
61.0%
P3
46.9%
56.8%
OT
66.7%
67.7%
Final 5 min
45.9%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.4%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2016 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 3 | 11:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |