Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 28 meetings). Letestu wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 52.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 34-28 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 50.2%
Defensive zone
Letestu 63.6%
Neutral zone
Letestu 56.9%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Letestu
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
34
(62 meetings)
28
34
Letestu
O'Reilly
Last 10: Letestu 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
11
17
Letestu
O'Reilly
28 total
Defensive Zone
Even
12
12
Letestu
O'Reilly
24 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Letestu
O'Reilly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (4,565)
56.2% (15,260)
-2.9%
Power Play
56.0% (687)
58.8% (3,445)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,005)
51.4% (2,811)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Letestu shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Letestu
O'Reilly
Home
54.0% (3,024)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
50.4% (3,249)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Letestu
O'Reilly
P1
51.5%
55.6%
P2
55.0%
57.0%
P3
49.8%
55.1%
OT
51.8%
62.2%
Final 5 min
50.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 3 | 11:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |