Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Letestu wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smyth shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 52.1% vs Smyth 45.8% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 56.9%
Defensive zone
Letestu 87.8%
Neutral zone
Letestu 81.6%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Letestu
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Letestu
Smyth
Last 6: Letestu 4-2 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
2
0
Letestu
Smyth
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Letestu
Smyth
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Letestu
Smyth
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (4,565)
45.2% (456)
+8.1%
Power Play
56.0% (687)
51.8% (164)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,005)
23.3% (43)
+20.9%
On penalty kill, Letestu has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Letestu shoots right. Smyth is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Letestu
Smyth
Home
54.0% (3,024)
49.7% (340)
Away
50.4% (3,249)
40.5% (326)
By Period
Letestu
Smyth
P1
51.5%
48.3%
P2
55.0%
41.7%
P3
49.8%
46.5%
OT
51.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |