Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Letestu wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 52.1% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 60.8%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 53.3%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 57.2%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Letestu
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
15
(25 meetings)
10
15
Letestu
Horcoff
Last 10: Letestu 3-7 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
6
Letestu
Horcoff
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
6
Letestu
Horcoff
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
7
3
Letestu
Horcoff
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (4,565)
50.6% (3,133)
+2.7%
Power Play
56.0% (687)
51.4% (555)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,005)
43.0% (567)
+1.2%
On power play, Letestu has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Letestu shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,303).
Home / Away
Letestu
Horcoff
Home
54.0% (3,024)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
50.4% (3,249)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Letestu
Horcoff
P1
51.5%
48.2%
P2
55.0%
49.5%
P3
49.8%
50.9%
OT
51.8%
51.9%
Final 5 min
50.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 11, 2015 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 11, 2015 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 11, 2015 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 11, 2015 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 11, 2015 | 1 | 10:09 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 11, 2015 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 16:52 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 16:58 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |