Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Graovac on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 50.4% vs Graovac 48.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Graovac 78.2%
Defensive zone
Letestu 74.0%
Neutral zone
Graovac 54.0%
Result
Tyler Graovac favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Letestu
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Letestu
Graovac
Last 8: Letestu 4-4 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
1
2
Letestu
Graovac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
1
2
Letestu
Graovac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
2
0
Letestu
Graovac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (582)
47.5% (341)
+3.4%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
50.0% (2)
+6.8%
On power play, Letestu has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Letestu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (669).
Letestu shoots right. Graovac is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Letestu
Graovac
Home
48.5% (423)
48.6% (181)
Away
52.2% (473)
46.3% (162)
By Period
Letestu
Graovac
P1
54.0%
42.4%
P2
50.5%
46.8%
P3
46.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
45.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.4%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 17:32 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |