Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Graovac on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Letestu wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Graovac shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 52.1% vs Graovac 47.1% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Graovac 70.7%
Defensive zone
Letestu 67.9%
Neutral zone
Graovac 55.0%
Result
Tyler Graovac favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Letestu
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Letestu
Graovac
Last 8: Letestu 4-4 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
1
2
Letestu
Graovac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
1
2
Letestu
Graovac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
2
0
Letestu
Graovac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (4,565)
46.5% (497)
+6.8%
Power Play
56.0% (687)
50.0% (4)
+6.0%
On even strength, Letestu has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Letestu shoots right. Graovac is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Letestu
Graovac
Home
54.0% (3,024)
47.6% (233)
Away
50.4% (3,249)
45.5% (268)
By Period
Letestu
Graovac
P1
51.5%
41.7%
P2
55.0%
47.4%
P3
49.8%
51.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 17:32 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |