Scouting Report
Rod Pelley holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pelley on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Olver wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — Pelley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Olver 43.5% vs Pelley 49.4% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Olver 54.6%
Defensive zone
Olver 50.5%
Neutral zone
Olver 55.6%
Result
Mark Olver favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Olver
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Olver
Pelley
Last 5: Olver 2-3 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
1
Olver
Pelley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Olver
1
0
Olver
Pelley
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
1
2
Olver
Pelley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Olver
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (85)
49.6% (232)
-14.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
0.0% (4)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
53.3% (15)
-53.3%
On power play, Olver has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Olver is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Olver shoots left. Pelley is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Olver
Pelley
Home
40.0% (50)
50.0% (94)
Away
31.7% (41)
48.8% (160)
By Period
Olver
Pelley
P1
26.1%
46.0%
P2
40.6%
49.0%
P3
38.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Olver
42.0%▬
41.0%
36.3%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2012 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Mark Olver |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Mark Olver |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |