Scouting Report
Rod Pelley holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pelley on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Olver wins 36.6% vs left-shot opponents — Pelley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Olver 43.0% vs Pelley 51.0% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Olver 69.5%
Defensive zone
Pelley 62.2%
Neutral zone
Olver 53.1%
Result
Mark Olver favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Olver
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Olver
Pelley
Last 5: Olver 2-3 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
1
Olver
Pelley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Olver
1
0
Olver
Pelley
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
1
2
Olver
Pelley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Olver
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (236)
51.4% (440)
-11.1%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
25.0% (8)
+28.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (5)
50.8% (118)
-50.8%
On penalty kill, Pelley has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Olver is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Olver shoots left. Pelley is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Olver
Pelley
Home
39.4% (132)
52.9% (221)
Away
41.3% (126)
50.1% (353)
By Period
Olver
Pelley
P1
37.8%
50.8%
P2
41.3%
49.3%
P3
41.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
42.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Olver
42.0%▬
41.0%
40.3%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2012 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Mark Olver |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Mark Olver |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |