Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 46.9%). Tkachuk wins 37.8% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 47.1% vs Scheifele 47.2% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 63.8%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 74.6%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 51.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Last 6: Tkachuk 3-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Tkachuk
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (226)
45.8% (1,011)
+1.1%
Power Play
42.0% (81)
51.7% (232)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
47.8% (46)
+32.2%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Tkachuk is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Tkachuk shoots left. Scheifele is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Scheifele
Home
47.6% (168)
50.4% (691)
Away
44.4% (144)
43.0% (598)
By Period
Tkachuk
Scheifele
P1
49.1%
46.7%
P2
42.9%
48.1%
P3
46.5%
46.3%
OT
33.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
45.8%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
46.2%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |