Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Backes wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.6% vs Scheifele 43.1% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 69.0%
Defensive zone
Backes 93.9%
Neutral zone
Backes 83.8%
Result
David Backes favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Backes
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Backes
Scheifele
Last 10: Backes 7-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Backes
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
6
1
Backes
Scheifele
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (861)
41.2% (655)
+10.1%
Power Play
50.0% (176)
46.8% (126)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (164)
50.0% (4)
+5.5%
On even strength, Backes has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Backes is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (353).
Backes shoots right. Scheifele is 37.1% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Backes
Scheifele
Home
53.3% (599)
45.9% (394)
Away
50.2% (602)
38.4% (391)
By Period
Backes
Scheifele
P1
53.5%
44.7%
P2
50.3%
42.2%
P3
51.5%
39.7%
OT
50.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
54.7%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2014 | OT | 04:28 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 8, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 07:47 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 18, 2013 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | David Backes |