Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Backes wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 49.3% vs Scheifele 43.9% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 72.0%
Defensive zone
Backes 81.0%
Neutral zone
Backes 67.8%
Result
David Backes favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Backes
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Backes
Scheifele
Last 9: Backes 6-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Backes
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
6
1
Backes
Scheifele
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Backes
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (87)
43.9% (1,136)
+2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
43.0% (237)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
38.6% (88)
+25.7%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Backes is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Backes shoots right. Scheifele is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Backes
Scheifele
Home
52.6% (19)
45.3% (739)
Away
48.1% (104)
41.6% (722)
By Period
Backes
Scheifele
P1
52.4%
45.6%
P2
55.0%
42.6%
P3
35.9%
42.8%
OT
100.0%
26.7%
Final 5 min
56.7%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |