Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.8%). Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Rossi wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 55.5%
Defensive zone
Rossi 57.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 58.2%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Rossi
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Rossi
Scheifele
Last 10: Rossi 5-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
5
Rossi
Scheifele
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
6
3
Rossi
Scheifele
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
4
Rossi
Scheifele
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
46.3% (12,036)
+0.7%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
50.2% (2,563)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
41.6% (598)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Rossi is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Rossi shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Home / Away
Rossi
Scheifele
Home
47.8% (1,207)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
Rossi
Scheifele
P1
47.3%
48.2%
P2
44.8%
45.6%
P3
48.3%
46.8%
OT
45.8%
42.5%
Final 5 min
44.2%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |