Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Barzal 46.3% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 54.3%
Defensive zone
Barzal 56.6%
Neutral zone
Barzal 54.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Scheifele
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Scheifele
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Scheifele
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
43.0% (114)
+5.1%
On even strength, Scheifele has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Scheifele shoots right. Barzal is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Barzal
Home
52.7% (630)
35.8% (53)
Away
43.5% (623)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Scheifele
Barzal
P1
50.3%
44.2%
P2
46.8%
38.5%
P3
47.5%
46.9%
Final 5 min
51.3%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |