Mark Scheifele vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Backlund 49.7% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 79.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 91.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 63.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Scheifele
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
10
(25 meetings)
15
10
Scheifele
Backlund
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
10
4
Scheifele
Backlund
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Scheifele
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Scheifele
Backlund
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
50.1% (891)
-3.6%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
53.1% (64)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
47.8% (278)
+2.2%
On power play, Backlund has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Scheifele shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Backlund
Home
46.2% (571)
48.1% (580)
Away
47.7% (535)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Scheifele
Backlund
P1
51.9%
45.1%
P2
45.6%
54.7%
P3
43.9%
49.0%
OT
27.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
47.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |