Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Bonino 50.8% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 79.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 85.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 64.8%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Scheifele
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Scheifele
Bonino
Last 5: Scheifele 4-1 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
0
Scheifele
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Scheifele
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
51.8% (305)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
48.5% (101)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Scheifele shoots right. Bonino is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Bonino
Home
52.7% (630)
53.1% (177)
Away
43.5% (623)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Scheifele
Bonino
P1
50.3%
55.9%
P2
46.8%
49.6%
P3
47.5%
47.6%
OT
36.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2023 | OT | 00:55 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |