Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.1% vs Spaling 51.7% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 68.7%
Defensive zone
Spaling 52.3%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 61.6%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Scheifele
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Scheifele
Spaling
Last 5: Scheifele 2-3 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
1
Scheifele
Spaling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
2
Scheifele
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Spaling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (655)
56.3% (119)
-15.1%
Power Play
46.8% (126)
40.0% (5)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
44.2% (43)
+5.8%
On even strength, Spaling has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Scheifele is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Scheifele shoots right. Spaling is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Spaling
Home
45.9% (394)
40.0% (45)
Away
38.4% (391)
57.4% (122)
By Period
Scheifele
Spaling
P1
44.7%
47.1%
P2
42.2%
52.2%
P3
39.7%
61.4%
OT
36.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
42.2%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2013 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |