Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Spaling 49.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 75.4%
Defensive zone
Spaling 69.9%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.3%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Scheifele
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Scheifele
Spaling
Last 10: Scheifele 5-5 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Spaling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
3
Scheifele
Spaling
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Spaling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
50.5% (2,263)
-4.2%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
43.4% (53)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
48.0% (498)
-6.4%
On power play, Scheifele has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Scheifele shoots right. Spaling is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Spaling
Home
48.9% (7,644)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Scheifele
Spaling
P1
48.2%
49.8%
P2
45.6%
48.3%
P3
46.8%
52.0%
OT
42.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2015 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 07:52 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |