Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Acciari 51.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 92.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 89.9%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Scheifele
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Scheifele
Acciari
Last 8: Scheifele 4-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Scheifele
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Scheifele
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
53.0% (285)
-6.5%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
31.3% (16)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
50.8% (183)
-0.8%
On power play, Scheifele has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Scheifele is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Scheifele shoots right. Acciari is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Acciari
Home
46.2% (571)
53.2% (267)
Away
47.7% (535)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Scheifele
Acciari
P1
51.9%
53.1%
P2
45.6%
51.1%
P3
43.9%
50.6%
OT
27.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 08:30 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |