Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Kelly 41.8% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 96.4%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 59.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 76.6%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 89.5%
89.5%
10.5%
Scheifele
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Scheifele
Kelly
Last 10: Scheifele 7-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
9
1
Scheifele
Kelly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Scheifele
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Kelly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
41.9% (756)
+4.4%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
0.0% (3)
+50.2%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
37.2% (172)
+4.4%
On power play, Scheifele has a +50.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Scheifele shoots right. Kelly is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Kelly
Home
48.9% (7,644)
42.5% (475)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
39.3% (456)
By Period
Scheifele
Kelly
P1
48.2%
42.4%
P2
45.6%
44.7%
P3
46.8%
35.7%
OT
42.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |