Mark Scheifele vs Parker Kelly

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mark Scheifele holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Scheifele 47.2% vs Kelly 41.6% (+10.2%)
Offensive zone Scheifele 74.5%
Defensive zone Kelly 66.0%
Neutral zone Kelly 51.5%
Result Mark Scheifele favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Scheifele Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Scheifele
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
36.3% (157)
+10.2%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
0.0% (1)
+48.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
45.5% (11)
+4.5%
On power play, Scheifele has a +48.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Scheifele shoots right. Kelly is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Kelly
Home
46.2% (571)
35.9% (78)
Away
47.7% (535)
37.4% (91)
By Period
Scheifele
Kelly
P1
51.9%
34.3%
P2
45.6%
36.0%
P3
43.9%
40.4%
Final 5 min
47.7%
37.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%
51.0%
46.9%
Kelly
46.0%
38.0%
36.7%