Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Brown 51.9% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 77.6%
Defensive zone
Brown 82.7%
Neutral zone
Brown 60.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Scheifele
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Scheifele
Brown
Last 5: Scheifele 3-2 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
Brown
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Scheifele
Brown
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Brown
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
52.8% (284)
-5.0%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
75.0% (4)
-28.0%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
49.0% (51)
+11.7%
On power play, Brown has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Scheifele shoots right. Brown is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Brown
Home
50.7% (611)
53.5% (144)
Away
45.1% (596)
51.8% (195)
By Period
Scheifele
Brown
P1
51.4%
49.0%
P2
47.3%
48.7%
P3
45.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
44.7%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:15 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |