Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.1% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 94.0%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 59.0%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 82.8%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Scheifele
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Scheifele
Gaustad
Last 6: Scheifele 0-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Scheifele
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Scheifele
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Scheifele
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (655)
59.3% (913)
-18.1%
Power Play
46.8% (126)
72.2% (18)
-25.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
52.8% (269)
-2.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Scheifele is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Scheifele shoots right. Gaustad is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Gaustad
Home
45.9% (394)
58.6% (604)
Away
38.4% (391)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Scheifele
Gaustad
P1
44.7%
61.5%
P2
42.2%
55.7%
P3
39.7%
56.6%
OT
36.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
42.2%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |