Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 25-7 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 96.9%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 70.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 92.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Scheifele
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
25
(32 meetings)
7
25
Scheifele
Gaustad
Last 10: Scheifele 2-8 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
7
2
Scheifele
Gaustad
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
16
Scheifele
Gaustad
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
7
Scheifele
Gaustad
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
58.2% (4,334)
-11.9%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
65.4% (188)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
54.8% (1,290)
-13.2%
On power play, Gaustad has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Scheifele shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Gaustad
Home
48.9% (7,644)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Scheifele
Gaustad
P1
48.2%
58.2%
P2
45.6%
56.4%
P3
46.8%
58.3%
OT
42.5%
66.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 15:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 09:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |