Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 13 meetings). Scheifele wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.4% vs Gaustad 55.9% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 17-6 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 97.7%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 87.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 92.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 91.0%
91.0%
9.0%
Scheifele
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
17
(23 meetings)
6
17
Scheifele
Gaustad
Last 10: Scheifele 1-9 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
6
1
Scheifele
Gaustad
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
13
Scheifele
Gaustad
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Scheifele
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (938)
57.7% (821)
-15.4%
Power Play
50.0% (168)
56.3% (16)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
26.8% (41)
52.3% (260)
-25.5%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Scheifele is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Scheifele shoots right. Gaustad is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Gaustad
Home
43.1% (569)
58.9% (577)
Away
42.7% (579)
53.7% (520)
By Period
Scheifele
Gaustad
P1
45.3%
53.1%
P2
38.6%
57.9%
P3
44.1%
57.8%
OT
56.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
40.6%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
42.9%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 15:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 09:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |