Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.1% vs Stastny 53.8% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 76.5%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 82.5%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 83.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Scheifele
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Scheifele
Stastny
Last 7: Scheifele 1-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Scheifele
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Scheifele
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (655)
53.2% (995)
-12.0%
Power Play
46.8% (126)
57.6% (158)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
61.4% (57)
-11.4%
On even strength, Stastny has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Scheifele is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Scheifele shoots right. Stastny is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Stastny
Home
45.9% (394)
55.1% (586)
Away
38.4% (391)
53.2% (624)
By Period
Scheifele
Stastny
P1
44.7%
54.7%
P2
42.2%
53.1%
P3
39.7%
54.2%
OT
36.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
42.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2013 | OT | 04:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 12, 2013 | OT | 02:18 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 12, 2013 | OT | 00:24 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |