Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 43 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Stastny 55.1% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 84-38 in 122 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 80.7%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 93.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 94.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Scheifele
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
84
(122 meetings)
38
84
Scheifele
Stastny
Last 10: Scheifele 1-9 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
20
26
Scheifele
Stastny
46 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
8
35
Scheifele
Stastny
43 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
10
23
Scheifele
Stastny
33 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
54.6% (10,616)
-8.3%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
59.1% (1,994)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
52.9% (1,119)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Scheifele shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Stastny
Home
48.9% (7,644)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Scheifele
Stastny
P1
48.2%
56.3%
P2
45.6%
55.4%
P3
46.8%
53.5%
OT
42.5%
62.9%
Final 5 min
45.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 17:48 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 2, 2019 | OT | 02:30 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 15:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |