Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Scheifele wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Stastny 54.4% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 67.5%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 76.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 69.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Scheifele
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Scheifele
Stastny
Last 7: Scheifele 1-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Scheifele
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Scheifele
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,011)
53.6% (859)
-7.8%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
59.9% (202)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
55.1% (78)
-7.3%
On power play, Stastny has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Scheifele is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Scheifele shoots right. Stastny is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Stastny
Home
50.4% (691)
56.9% (596)
Away
43.0% (598)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Scheifele
Stastny
P1
46.7%
53.9%
P2
48.1%
56.2%
P3
46.3%
54.4%
OT
41.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
45.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 17:48 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 2, 2019 | OT | 02:30 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |