Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 45.9%). Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Gagner 46.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 52.0%
Defensive zone
Gagner 54.1%
Neutral zone
Gagner 52.6%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Scheifele
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Scheifele
Gagner
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
5
Scheifele
Gagner
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
45.4% (4,699)
+0.9%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
51.5% (928)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
35.0% (226)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,377).
Scheifele shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Gagner
Home
48.9% (7,644)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Scheifele
Gagner
P1
48.2%
44.6%
P2
45.6%
46.1%
P3
46.8%
47.3%
OT
42.5%
42.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |