Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Couturier 53.2% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 78.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 85.7%
Neutral zone
Couturier 50.5%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Scheifele
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Scheifele
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
53.4% (758)
-6.9%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
62.9% (70)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
50.7% (227)
-0.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Scheifele shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Couturier
Home
46.2% (571)
50.7% (517)
Away
47.7% (535)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Scheifele
Couturier
P1
51.9%
55.2%
P2
45.6%
53.0%
P3
43.9%
53.3%
OT
27.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
47.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |