Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Frederic 45.7% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 50.3%
Defensive zone
Frederic 74.6%
Neutral zone
Frederic 59.0%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Scheifele
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Scheifele
Frederic
Last 5: Scheifele 1-4 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Scheifele
Frederic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Frederic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
2
Scheifele
Frederic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
42.6% (195)
+6.1%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
64.3% (14)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
25.0% (4)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Scheifele shoots right. Frederic is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Frederic
Home
50.0% (672)
48.6% (107)
Away
48.8% (596)
38.7% (106)
By Period
Scheifele
Frederic
P1
51.4%
37.5%
P2
45.1%
44.8%
P3
51.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 18:01 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |