Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Lewis 44.4% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 74.1%
Defensive zone
Lewis 65.1%
Neutral zone
Lewis 50.8%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Scheifele
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Scheifele
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Lewis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Scheifele
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
45.7% (210)
+2.4%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
71.4% (7)
-22.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
33.7% (95)
+10.7%
On power play, Lewis has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Scheifele shoots right. Lewis is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Lewis
Home
52.7% (630)
48.8% (166)
Away
43.5% (623)
35.6% (146)
By Period
Scheifele
Lewis
P1
50.3%
37.9%
P2
46.8%
46.7%
P3
47.5%
42.7%
Final 5 min
51.3%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |