Scouting Report
Tyson Kozak holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Kozak 48.8% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 77.5%
Defensive zone
Kozak 86.2%
Neutral zone
Kozak 61.5%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Scheifele
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Scheifele
Kozak
Last 6: Scheifele 5-1 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
0
Scheifele
Kozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
1
Scheifele
Kozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Kozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
48.3% (431)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
62.5% (8)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
48.9% (45)
-7.3%
On power play, Kozak has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Scheifele shoots right. Kozak is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Kozak
Home
48.9% (7,644)
47.6% (229)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
49.4% (255)
By Period
Scheifele
Kozak
P1
48.2%
54.4%
P2
45.6%
45.7%
P3
46.8%
45.7%
Final 5 min
45.6%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |