Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Kozak 47.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 82.7%
Defensive zone
Kozak 55.5%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 60.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Scheifele
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Scheifele
Kozak
Last 6: Scheifele 5-1 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
0
Scheifele
Kozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
1
Scheifele
Kozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Kozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
46.0% (137)
+2.7%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
66.7% (3)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
40.0% (5)
+3.2%
On power play, Kozak has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Scheifele shoots right. Kozak is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Kozak
Home
50.0% (672)
51.2% (84)
Away
48.8% (596)
39.3% (61)
By Period
Scheifele
Kozak
P1
51.4%
57.1%
P2
45.1%
34.7%
P3
51.9%
48.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |