Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 44.6% vs Smith 51.9% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 51.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 82.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 74.4%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Scheifele
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Scheifele
Smith
Last 5: Scheifele 4-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (943)
53.6% (550)
-9.1%
Power Play
42.2% (180)
53.5% (71)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
43.5% (108)
+0.7%
On power play, Smith has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Scheifele is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Scheifele shoots right. Smith is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Smith
Home
47.4% (549)
56.5% (352)
Away
41.3% (617)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Scheifele
Smith
P1
43.7%
52.0%
P2
44.5%
51.5%
P3
43.8%
52.2%
OT
56.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
44.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2016 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |