Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Smith 50.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 20-11 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 50.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 84.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 59.8%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Scheifele
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
11
(31 meetings)
20
11
Scheifele
Smith
Last 10: Scheifele 5-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
6
2
Scheifele
Smith
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
4
7
Scheifele
Smith
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
10
2
Scheifele
Smith
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
51.6% (5,265)
-5.3%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
51.2% (342)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
45.3% (985)
-3.7%
On even strength, Smith has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Scheifele shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Smith
Home
48.9% (7,644)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Scheifele
Smith
P1
48.2%
49.9%
P2
45.6%
50.0%
P3
46.8%
51.9%
OT
42.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
45.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 18:31 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 13:39 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Zack Smith |