Mark Scheifele vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.6% vs Girgensons 42.9% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 78.0%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 67.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.2%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Scheifele
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Scheifele
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (674)
36.2% (94)
+9.8%
Power Play
46.2% (119)
0.0% (1)
+46.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (50)
41.2% (17)
+6.8%
On power play, Scheifele has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Scheifele shoots right. Girgensons is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Girgensons
Home
44.8% (426)
38.0% (50)
Away
47.5% (417)
35.5% (62)
By Period
Scheifele
Girgensons
P1
53.4%
43.2%
P2
43.3%
34.3%
P3
42.3%
32.5%
Final 5 min
46.3%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.1%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |