Mark Scheifele vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 81.5%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 77.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.5%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Scheifele
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Scheifele
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
43.2% (146)
+3.3%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
50.0% (2)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
44.8% (29)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Scheifele shoots right. Girgensons is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Girgensons
Home
46.2% (571)
40.3% (72)
Away
47.7% (535)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Scheifele
Girgensons
P1
51.9%
43.8%
P2
45.6%
44.6%
P3
43.9%
42.5%
Final 5 min
47.7%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |