Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.1% vs 45.9%). Erat wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erat 46.8% vs Gagner 46.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 58.2%
Defensive zone
Gagner 57.9%
Neutral zone
Gagner 50.2%
Result
Martin Erat favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Erat
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Erat
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
2
0
Erat
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erat
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (321)
45.4% (4,699)
+1.3%
Power Play
45.5% (101)
51.5% (928)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (29)
35.0% (226)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Erat has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Erat is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Erat shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Erat
Gagner
Home
53.2% (252)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
37.2% (199)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Erat
Gagner
P1
43.4%
44.6%
P2
45.8%
46.1%
P3
50.0%
47.3%
OT
16.7%
42.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Martin Erat |