Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Erat on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erat 47.0% vs Couturier 47.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 59.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 81.8%
Neutral zone
Couturier 65.9%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Erat
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Erat
Couturier
Last 6: Erat 5-1 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Erat
1
0
Erat
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Erat
4
1
Erat
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erat
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (180)
48.5% (1,067)
-4.1%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
51.0% (51)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
43.4% (235)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Erat has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Erat is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Erat shoots left. Couturier is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Erat
Couturier
Home
51.9% (129)
49.4% (620)
Away
35.7% (84)
46.4% (733)
By Period
Erat
Couturier
P1
44.4%
47.1%
P2
45.9%
50.4%
P3
47.2%
45.5%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
45.5%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 2 | 07:37 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Martin Erat |