Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Erat on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erat 46.8% vs Couturier 52.6% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 71.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 96.8%
Neutral zone
Couturier 90.9%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 88.9%
11.1%
88.9%
Erat
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Erat
Couturier
Last 7: Erat 6-1 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
1
0
Erat
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Erat
1
0
Erat
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Erat
4
1
Erat
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erat
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (321)
52.5% (11,063)
-5.8%
Power Play
45.5% (101)
59.7% (1,280)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (29)
48.5% (1,816)
-7.1%
On power play, Couturier has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Erat is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Erat shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Erat
Couturier
Home
53.2% (252)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
37.2% (199)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Erat
Couturier
P1
43.4%
52.5%
P2
45.8%
52.6%
P3
50.0%
52.9%
OT
16.7%
49.4%
Final 5 min
49.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 2 | 07:37 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Martin Erat |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Martin Erat |