Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs Hanzal 55.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 92.9%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 53.6%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 74.3%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Backes
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Backes
Hanzal
Last 5: Backes 4-1 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Hanzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Hanzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
54.9% (754)
-2.8%
Power Play
54.4% (147)
61.4% (228)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
49.2% (65)
+0.1%
On power play, Hanzal has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Backes is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Backes shoots right. Hanzal is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (410).
Home / Away
Backes
Hanzal
Home
53.1% (573)
58.1% (539)
Away
51.1% (619)
53.7% (508)
By Period
Backes
Hanzal
P1
51.8%
56.5%
P2
52.3%
57.9%
P3
52.6%
53.6%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 02:06 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | David Backes |