Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 53.8% vs Hanzal 55.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 74.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 52.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 59.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Tavares
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Tavares
Hanzal
Last 6: Tavares 2-4 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Hanzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Tavares
Hanzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
3
Tavares
Hanzal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,077)
54.9% (754)
-0.9%
Power Play
54.5% (275)
61.4% (228)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
49.2% (65)
+0.8%
On power play, Hanzal has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Tavares is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Tavares shoots left. Hanzal is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hanzal
Home
56.8% (655)
58.1% (539)
Away
51.6% (715)
53.7% (508)
By Period
Tavares
Hanzal
P1
54.1%
56.5%
P2
53.9%
57.9%
P3
54.3%
53.6%
OT
54.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.9%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 10:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |